Arsenal vs Chelsea: Carabao Cup semi-final betting tips, odds & predictions

• Fixture: Arsenal vs Chelsea

• Date: Tuesday, 03 February, 2026

• Kick-off: 20:00 GMT

• Venue: Emirates Stadium

Our prediction: Arsenal 2-2 Chelsea

Having come from behind to win 3-2 in back-to-back matches over the last week, Chelsea will be making the short trip across London in confident mood, but they meet an Arsenal side who have lost just one of their last 19 matches at the Emirates - and we don't think the Gunners will be beaten over 90 minutes here.

Their slender aggregate lead gives the hosts a huge boost, and while we do anticipate Chelsea putting in another strong performance to test Arsenal's resolve, we're predicting that it'll be Mikel Arteta's team who progress, with a score draw seeing Arsenal through to the final.

Predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Kepa / White, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori / Rice, Zubimendi / Martinelli, Odegaard, Eze / Jesus

Predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Sanchez / James, Fofana, Chalobah, Cucurella / Caicedo, Fernandez / Neto, Palmer, Garnacho / Pedro

Since returning from injury at the start of December, Gabriel Jesus has slowly made his way back into the fold, with goals and assists in recent weeks showing the strength of Arsenal's squad depth - and we think he'll find the net again in Tuesday's Carabao Cup semi-final second leg.

The Brazilian has a decent record in the competition, scoring 11 Carabao Cup goals in his career and winning the trophy four times, so Ladbrokes thinks backing the number nine to score here is a valuable pick - especially as Arsenal are likely to rotate their side, with Jesus probably getting a start. The 28-year-old will be desperate to make his mark as he competes with the likes of Viktor Gyokeres and Kai Havertz to be Arsenal's main man, and on an entertaining evening, we're expecting him to deliver.

Knowing they need to win on the night, Chelsea will have to approach this semi-final second leg on the front foot, with even a draw being enough for Arsenal to progress to the final. As a result, we could see an extremely open game at the Emirates, with Chelsea committing players forward despite the risk of Arsenal's fast breaks - so we're backing over 3.5 goals in this one.

The first-leg goal-fest has set the tone for Tuesday night, with Arsenal's 3-2 win giving them the edge, and we're hoping for much of the same on what should be a cracking night of knockout football. Both sides have scored at least three goals in their last two games, but both Arsenal and Chelsea have also conceded multiple goals in that time - so we're expecting the keepers to be busy on a big night under the Emirates lights.

Having scored the opener in the first leg, we're expecting Ben White to be given another start on Tuesday night, but we're tipping him to pick up a booking on what has the potential to be a difficult night for the Englishman. Whether he's facing Pedro Neto, Alejandro Garnacho or any one of the tricky Chelsea wingers at Liam Rosenior's disposal, White will have to be at his best to shut down the Blues' attacks - and we think he could be caught out.

The defender has only played 90 minutes three times since early December, and against such a confident Blues frontline, that lack of regular game time could easily come back to bite him (and his manager). White is never shy about getting forward for the Gunners, but when that space behind him gets exploited, he'll be fighting a losing battle to recover - and a foul could be the only option. The right back averages over a foul a game in the Premier League, and with that kind of record, we think he's a decent pick for a card in this Carabao Cup semi-final.

Wrapping up our Arsenal vs Chelsea bet builder and predictions for the Carabao Cup semi-final second leg, we're backing the game to end all square after 90 minutes - with Arsenal progressing to March's final after a hard-fought draw at the Emirates.

The Gunners almost never lose at home, and despite Chelsea coming into this one off the back of five straight wins, Arsenal's resilience should come to the fore in front of an expectant crowd - but it won't be easy. Chelsea will be ready to attack their hosts, but the inexperience of Liam Rosenior's young squad may well be their undoing, with Arsenal remaining patient and assured in their play.

We're anticipating a really good game between two in-form sides with real aspirations of lifting the Carabao Cup, but we think the tie will end as a draw, with Arsenal knocking their London rivals out.

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All odds and markets are correct as of the date of publication.