Burnley vs Leeds United: Predictions, Betting odds, Lineups, Preview

Explore Ladbrokes' detailed preview for Burnley vs Leeds United in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 15:00 BST match.

• Fixture: Burnley vs Leeds United

• Date: Saturday, 18 October 2025

• Kick-off: 15:00 BST

• Venue: Turf Moor

Match Prediction: Burnley 1-2 Leeds United

Burnley's recent form has been tough, with losses piling up against strong teams like Manchester City and Liverpool. They've struggled to compete, managing to score five goals in their last five games but conceding 12. However, playing at home might give them a slight boost, and they'll be desperate to turn things around. Look for Burnley to come out aggressive, trying to exploit any weaknesses in Leeds' defence.

Leeds United have had a mixed bag, with a win against Wolves showing they can still pack a punch. Their draws against Bournemouth and Newcastle suggest they're hard to beat but also struggle to secure wins. They'll need to be sharp at the back to handle Burnley's desperation, but their attacking options could cause problems. Expect a tight, competitive match where Leeds might just have the edge.

Burnley's recent form has been dismal, with four losses in their last five games. They've been particularly leaky at the back, conceding 12 goals in those matches. This could be a concern against a Leeds side that can score, but playing at home might give them a fighting chance. If they can shore up their defence and get their forwards firing, they might just pull off a surprise.

Recent Premier League Results:

• Loss: 1-2 vs Aston Villa (A)

• Loss: 1-5 vs Manchester City (A)

• Draw: 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest (H)

• Loss: 0-1 vs Liverpool (H)

• Loss: 2-3 vs Manchester United (A)

Leeds United have shown they can compete with anyone, drawing against Bournemouth and Newcastle. Their win against Wolves proves they've got the firepower to hurt teams. However, their loss to Tottenham shows they can be vulnerable. If they can keep their focus and intensity high, they should be able to take advantage of Burnley's shaky defence.

Recent Premier League Results:

• Loss: 1-2 vs Tottenham Hotspur (H)
• Draw: 2-2 vs AFC Bournemouth (H)
• Win: 3-1 vs Wolverhampton Wanderers (A)
• Loss: 0-1 vs Fulham (A)
• Draw: 0-0 vs Newcastle United (H)

Leeds United have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning three out of the last four games against Burnley. Their most recent victory was a convincing 3-1 win. However, Burnley managed a draw in their last home game against Leeds, suggesting they can be competitive on their own turf. This history might give Leeds confidence, but Burnley will be eager to change the narrative.

• Leeds United 3-1 Burnley (02 Jan 2022)

• Burnley 1-1 Leeds United (29 Aug 2021)

• Burnley 0-4 Leeds United (15 May 2021)

• Leeds United 1-0 Burnley (27 Dec 2020)

• Zeki Amdouni (Cruciate Ligament) - Doubt
• Connor Roberts (Knee) - Doubt
• Jordan Beyer (Knee) - Doubt

• Wilfried Gnonto (Calf) - Doubt

• Daniel James (Discomfort) - Doubt

• Lucas Perri (Muscle) - Doubt

• Predicted lineup: Dúbravka, Walker, Laurent, Tuanzebe, Estève, Hartman, Tchaouna, Cullen, Florentino, Anthony, Foster

With a solid backline and a midfield that needs to step up, Burnley will rely on Foster and Anthony to provide the attacking spark. Their recent struggles suggest they'll need to be more clinical in front of goal.

• Predicted lineup: Darlow, Bogle, Rodon, Struijk, Gudmundsson, Longstaff, Ampadu, Stach, Aaronson, Calvert-Lewin, Okafor

Leeds will look to control the game through midfield with Longstaff and Ampadu, while relying on Aaronson and Okafor to exploit any gaps in Burnley's defence. Their recent form indicates they can be both solid and dangerous.

• Josh Cullen vs Ethan Ampadu: Cullen’s ability to find space and create chances will be tested against Ampadu's positional nous.

• Florentino vs Longstaff: Florentino's energy in midfield will be crucial against Longstaff's tenacity and ball-winning skills.

• Florentino (Burnley): Florentino’s astute reading of the game could be key for Burnley, especially if they're looking to counter-attack.

• Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds United): The striker’s flair and goal threat make him a vital part of Leeds' attacking options.

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