Millwall vs Hull: Championship play-off semi-final second leg preview, predictions and bet builder tips

Millwall will feel confident heading into the second leg after producing the better chances in the first meeting, with expected goals favouring the Lions despite the game ending 0-0.

Alex Neil’s side have been one of the Championship’s most consistent teams this season, finishing third in the table and ending the regular campaign 10 points ahead of Hull City.

Hull, meanwhile, only secured their play-off place on the final day of the season and come into this game with just two wins from their last ten Championship matches.

With a place at Wembley on the line, read on for our in-depth Millwall vs Hull bet builder.

Millwall vs Hull match details

Fixture: Millwall vs Hull City
Competition: Championship play-off semi-final second-leg
Date: Monday, 11 May, 2026
Kick-off: 20:00 BST
Venue: The Den

Millwall vs Hull match prediction

Our prediction: Millwall 1-0 Hull City

Millwall vs Hull predicted lineups

Millwall

Our predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Patterson / Leonard, Crama, Cooper, Sturge / De Norre, Mazou-Sacko / Azeez, Neghli, Ballo / Coburn

Hull City

Our predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Pandur / Coyle, Egan, Hughes, Giles / Crooks, Slater / Millar, Gelhardt, Belloumi /McBurnie

Millwall vs Hull bet builder tips

Millwall to reach the final

Millwall produced an encouraging performance in the first leg and now return to The Den with home advantage and momentum on their side.

The away side edged Hull on expected goals in Friday night’s goalless draw and will feel confident they have enough to finish the job in front of their own supporters.

Millwall have also lost just two of their last ten matches, while Hull have managed only two wins across their last ten Championship games.

There is also a sizeable gap between the two sides based on the regular season standings, with Millwall finishing third and only narrowly missing out on automatic promotion, while Hull snuck into the play-offs on the final day.

Given their consistency and home advantage, our experts are backing Millwall to reach Wembley.

Under 3.5 goals to be scored

The first leg finished 0-0, and another relatively low-scoring encounter looks likely in the second meeting.

Millwall’s matches have generally been tight affairs throughout the season, with just 21 goals scored across their last ten games combined, an average of 2.1 per match.

Although the regular-season meetings between these sides both ended 3-1, those results appear to be outliers compared to the broader trend between the clubs.

In fact, the last five meetings between Millwall and Hull have averaged just 1.4 goals per game overall.

Hull’s recent matches have also been relatively controlled, with 90% of their last ten fixtures featuring three goals or fewer.

All signs point towards another tense, cagey play-off encounter.

Femi Azeez to have 3+ shots

Femi Azeez has been one of Millwall’s standout attacking players this season and should once again be central to their game plan.

The winger has scored 11 goals and added seven assists across 34 Championship starts this campaign, with many of Millwall’s attacking moves flowing through him.

Azeez was heavily involved in the first leg, registering three shots, and with Millwall now at home, we expect him to take on even more responsibility going forward.

His season average of 2.6 shots per game in the Championship also suggests there’s strong value in backing him for at least three attempts once again.

Ollie McBurnie to have 1+ shot on target

Ollie McBurnie remains Hull City’s biggest attacking threat heading into the second leg.

The Scottish striker failed to register a shot on target in the first meeting, but with both teams now knowing a place in the final is on the line, the game should open up more than it did on Friday night.

McBurnie averages one shot on target per game this season and has already scored against Millwall earlier in the campaign.

With Hull likely to need moments of quality on the counterattack, we expect McBurnie to test the goalkeeper at least once.

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All odds and markets are correct as of the date of publication.