NFL Munich game: Detroit Lions vs New England Patriots odds & prediction

NFL Germany: Lions vs Patriots Betting Odds, Point Spread, Trends

Detroit is a 2.5-point favourite on the spread. On the money line, the Lions are 4/6 to win and the Patriots are odds of 5/4. The points total is set at 50.5. This number opened at 48.5, so the market has moved toward points.

New England has failed to cover in four straight games, but the Over has cashed in six straight Patriots games. Detroit is 3-1 against the spread in its last four, and the Under is 3-0 in its last three games. The Patriots are 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings between these teams.

Lions vs Patriots Player Odds and Props

Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks 10th in the NFL with 657 receiving yards on 86 targets, roughly 82 yards per game. He had 86 yards against Miami, and New England’s secondary is in rough shape after Carlton Davis III left the Packers game with a knee injury, and Green Bay averaged 12.0 yards per dropback. St. Brown’s receiving yards line is 78.5.

New England Patriots

Detroit’s Aidan Hutchinson leads the NFL in pressures, and New England’s offensive line is banged up, with Ben Brown, Mike Onwenu, and Alijah Vera-Tucker all sidelined. That should push Maye out of the pocket often, and he has the legs to make teams pay when coverage drops. Maye’s rushing yards line is 26.5.

New England Patriots

Maye’s numbers still look strong. He has six straight games with three or more total touchdowns and ranks second in completion percentage over expected. The issue is ball security. He is now tied for the league lead with 11 interceptions, and New England is 3-0 this season when he doesn’t throw one.

The injury list is long. Rhamondre Stevenson (knee) is expected to miss time; TreVeyon Henderson has already missed two games and is also out for this one; A.J. Brown was a limited participant in Wednesday’s practice, and Romeo Doubs is on IR. Ben Brown and Davis have also already been ruled out.

Detroit Lions

Detroit entered last week averaging 29 points and a league-best 395.4 yards per game, and Jahmyr Gibbs has 847 rushing yards and nine rushing scores. The defence has quietly held four straight opponents to 21 points or fewer, and Detroit is 6-0 when it forces a turnover. That matters against a quarterback who just gave the ball away three times.

All-Pro linebacker Jack Campbell is on IR (neck), while DJ Reed (hip) and Cade Mays (ankle) missed the Miami game. Brian Branch is back from his Achilles tear.

Patriots vs Lions Prediction

New England has the talent to keep this close, but a thin offensive line and Maye’s turnover problem are a bad mix against this Lions defence. Detroit’s opportunistic defence should create the extra possession that decides it. Detroit should edge out New England in the end, but I expect both offences will score enough to push this one Over.

Our prediction: Lions 28-24 Patriots

View the latest NFL odds.

All odds and markets are correct as of the date of publication.