Churchill Downs

A fascinating race and a tricky puzzle, with doubts over those with the better form. Fully Subscribed needs to prove herself away from Aqueduct but was a decisive winner of a pair of lesser Graded stakes. Drexel Hill, Dry Powder and Snowyte all have Grade 1 form and could make a bold bid on their best form. Chasten (second preference) is full of potential and may take advantage if the pace is contested, as expected, but her stablemate BLESS THE BROKEN merits the selection. There is no Splendora against her this time and she stuck to her task well behind that impressive winner at Santa Anita. Brad Cox has not had her long and she is open to improvement back at the scene of her Kentucky Oaks third last year. Shred The Gnar would be a dangerous opponent if she is left alone up front. [James Willoughby]