NFL Redzone Week 4 betting tips: Sunday, October 4, 2026

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Buffalo managed to beat the Chargers last week, despite five turnovers, to move to 3-0. Turnovers have been a massive issue for the Patriots, with quarterback Drake Maye looking a far cry from last year's MVP runner-up that led New England to the Super Bowl. His issues from the playoffs have lingered and he's thrown six interceptions to just one touchdown, with the Patriots 1-2 after a 35-6 walloping in Jacksonville last week. Not a great time to be facing Josh Allen, who already has five passing TDs and six rushing TDs. Bills RB James Cook has 135+ rushing yards and a touchdown in each of his last two games. We're backing the Bills to beat the Patriots by a touchdown.

Pick: Bills -6.5

Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans

The Ravens beat the Cowboys 34-31 in Rio last week in one of the all-time great finishes, but this game against the Titans shouldn't be as dangerous. Tennessee are struggling at 0-3 and pressure is building on quarterback Cam Ward after he threw a game-sealing interception against the Giants. It's a revenge game for Derrick Henry, with the decision by the Titans to let him walk in 2024 ageing worse by the game. The Baltimore running back has 301 yards and six TDs through three games, and now ranks third in the all-time rushing touchdown list. We're predicting a blowout win for the Ravens at home.

Pick: Ravens -11.5

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

A big early matchup in the AFC West and one of these teams' unbeaten starts is coming to an end. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes looks back to his best coming off an ACL, and worryingly for opponents so does Travis Kelce. But the biggest surprise of the season is the 3-0 Raiders, who earned the first pick in the draft last year. New head coach Klint Kubiak has veteran QB Kirk Cousins cooking, and star tight end Brock Bowers returned from injury with 116 yards and a touchdown in an impressive away win in New Orleans. Home underdog in a divisional game? Even if it's against Mahomes, give us the points.

Pick: Raiders +5.5

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Chargers

If it ain't broke, why fix it? Jaxon Smith-Njigba delivered for us again last week, so we're backing him to find the endzone against the Chargers in Week 4. JSN has had a sensational start to 2026, somehow outperforming his Offensive Player of the Year campaign from last year, with 405 receiving yards and six touchdowns in three games. The Chargers are struggling at 0-3 and it could be another long afternoon for them against the Super Bowl champions.

Pick: Jaxon Smith-Njigba anytime touchdown

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All odds and markets are correct as of the date of publication.