Tottenham vs Leeds: Premier League preview, predictions and bet builder tips

Tottenham may still be just one point above the relegation zone, but there are clear signs of improvement under Roberto De Zerbi.

Spurs head into this clash unbeaten in their last three Premier League matches, with victories against Wolves and Aston Villa helping restore confidence at a crucial stage of the campaign.

Leeds, meanwhile, are close to securing survival themselves and may arrive in North London with less pressure on their shoulders.

With so much still at stake near the bottom of the table, read on for our in-depth Tottenham vs Leeds bet builder, and don’t forget to check out our complete preview of every single Premier League match from this gameweek.

Tottenham vs Leeds match details

Fixture: Tottenham vs Leeds United
Competition: Premier League
Date: Monday, 11 May, 2026
Kick-off: 20:00 BST
Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Tottenham vs Leeds match prediction

Our prediction: Tottenham 2-2 Leeds United

Tottenham vs Leeds predicted lineups

Tottenham

Our predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Kinsky / Porro, Danso, Van de Ven, Udogie / Bentancur, Palhinha / Tel, Gallagher, Kolo Muani / Richarlison

Leeds United

Our predicted XI (3-5-2): Darlow / Rodon, Bijol, Struijk / Bogle, Ampadu, Stach, Tanaka, Justin / Okafor, Calvert-Lewin

Tottenham vs Leeds bet builder tips

Tottenham to win or draw

Tottenham’s season has been disappointing overall, but Roberto De Zerbi appears to be turning things around at exactly the right time.

Spurs are unbeaten in their last three Premier League matches, with wins against Wolves and Aston Villa helping lift them away from immediate danger.

Recent history in this fixture also strongly favours the North London side, with Tottenham winning each of their last five matches against Leeds.

In fact, Leeds have only avoided defeat once against Spurs since returning to the Premier League in 2021.

With Leeds’ safety all but secured and Tottenham still fighting for survival, our experts are backing Spurs to avoid defeat at home.

Over 2.5 goals to be scored

History suggests this fixture almost always delivers goals.

Every one of the last ten meetings between Tottenham and Leeds, dating back to 2010, has seen over 2.5 goals scored.

You actually have to go all the way back to 2004 for the last time these two sides played out a match featuring fewer than three goals.

Recent form also points towards another entertaining encounter, with 60% of Tottenham’s last ten Premier League games seeing at least three goals scored.

Leeds’ recent matches have been even more open, with each of their last four league games producing over 2.5 goals and 14 goals scored overall, an average of 3.5 per game.

Given the attacking quality and recent trends, backing over 2.5 goals looks a strong option.

Joao Palhinha to have 1+ shot

Joao Palhinha is best known for his defensive work, but the midfielder has become increasingly involved going forward in recent weeks.

The on-loan midfielder is averaging 0.9 shots per Premier League game this season and has registered an effort in each of his last three matches.

He even found the net against Wolves last month, highlighting his growing attacking confidence.

Palhinha also had two shots in the reverse fixture against Leeds back in October, and we’re backing him to try his luck again on Monday night.

Ethan Ampadu to commit 2+ fouls

Ethan Ampadu’s combative style makes him one of Leeds’ most active midfielders defensively.

The Welsh international averages 1.4 fouls per Premier League game and has picked up nine yellow cards in 32 appearances this season.

Ampadu was particularly busy in Leeds’ recent win over Burnley, where he committed five fouls, and he also picked up a booking while committing two fouls in the reverse fixture against Tottenham earlier this season.

With Spurs expected to dominate possession for long periods, Ampadu should have plenty of defensive work to do in midfield.

That makes backing him for two or more fouls a strong selection.

You can bet on each of these markets individually, or combine them to create a Tottenham vs Leeds Bet Builder.

With Bet Builder+, you can combine your selections not only within this match, but also across other Premier League fixtures and even different sports.

All odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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