Donald Trump special bets: POTUS odds-on to be impeached

The assumed probability of that happening, according to Ladbrokes, currently stands at over 66%, with Trump 6/4 to not complete a full term.

That is supported by the odds on when Trump will be replaced as US President, with the bookies suggesting that 2029 or later is the most likely.

That shouldn't be too surprising, with Trump 1/2 to last until the end of his term. 2027 is viewed as second-most likely, behind 2028 or at some point between now and the end of the year.

However, despite the odds favouring Trump remaining in his post until the end of his term, the current US President is also odds-on to be impeached before January 2029.

The latest odds from Ladbrokes have Trump at 4/6 to be impeached before January 20, 2029. By comparison, the odds of that not happening are at 11/10.

That means that despite the latest odds suggesting Trump will remain in his post until the end of his four-year term, there's a 60% chance he's impeached before then.

As noted at the top of this article, Trump is one of the best discussed and talked about figures in the world, arguably having the biggest impact of any other figure on the planet.

That means that there's always a chance he wins the TIME Person of the Year, an award given to the person or thing that holds the biggest influence on global news and events for the year, whether for better or worse.

Trump has been named TIME Person of the Year twice already, in 2016 and 2024, and he's got a 50% chance of being named for a third time before 2029, according to the latest odds.

For what it's worth, Ladbrokes also has odds on who will replace Trump in the 2028 elections, with Gavin Newsom now viewed as more likely to be President than JD Vance.

View the latest politics odds.

All odds and markets are correct as of the date of publication.