US Open 2025 Men's Singles final: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner odds, preview & prediction

Jannik Sinner arrives in New York chasing a third major title of 2025 after imperious performances throughout the fortnight. The defending champion has dropped only one set, sweeping past Lorenzo Musetti and Alexander Bublik before handling Felix Auger-Aliassime in the semi-finals. Having retired in the Cincinnati final last month, there were questions about his fitness, but the Italian has looked sharp and physically strong in his title defence.

Carlos Alcaraz is continues to thrive on the big stage and is yet to drop a set through his fortnight in New York. The 2022 champion came through a blockbuster semi-final against Novak Djokovic in comfortable fashion, showing the relentless energy and variety that define his game. Already a five-time Grand Slam winner, he has grown stronger each round and will now aim to add a second US Open crown to his collection.

Sinner leads their head-to-head 9–5 after winning the Wimbledon final in four sets, levelling their Slam final record at one apiece following Alcaraz’s triumph at Roland Garros. This is now their third consecutive Grand Slam final, underlining a rivalry that has defined the season. Between them, they have won the last seven majors, cementing their status as the sport’s dominant forces.

Both players have been flawless in New York and another classic looks in store. Sinner’s serving and baseline consistency have made him almost unplayable this fortnight, while Alcaraz’s ability to produce magic in the biggest moments gives him a proven edge in finals.

With momentum swinging between them across the summer, this could well go the distance once more. We just about give the edge to Sinner on the hard court, but whichever way it falls, Flushing Meadows is set for another thriller.

Prediction: Jannik Sinner to win in five sets

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All odds and markets are correct as of the date of publication.