It's a blockbuster semi-final as Carlos Alcaraz meets Novak Djokovic in their first US Open clash, with the Spaniard chasing a sixth Slam after cruising through the draw without dropping a set. Djokovic, a four-time champion in New York, leads their head-to-head 5–3 after winning the last two and brings unmatched experience to this stage, but with Alcaraz’s flawless form and relentless energy, we’re backing him to edge past the Serbian into the final.
Aryna Sabalenka takes on Jessica Pegula in a repeat of the 2024 US Open final, with both players yet to drop a set this fortnight. The defending champion Sabalenka leads their rivalry 7–2, including victory in the Miami final in March, and has looked ruthless once again in New York. Pegula, the world number four, has been solid throughout but Sabalenka’s power and confidence on hard courts make her the favourite to reach the final.
Jannik Sinner meets Felix Auger-Aliassime as the world number one looks to extend his dominant run towards a third Grand Slam of 2025. The reigning champion has been imperious in New York, not dropping a set and breezing past Lorenzo Musetti and Alexander Bublik in the last two rounds. Auger-Aliassime, an Olympic bronze medallist and 2021 US Open semi-finalist, has produced a superb run with wins over Zverev, Rublev and De Minaur, but Sinner’s class should see him through in straight sets.
Naomi Osaka faces Amanda Anisimova in a semi-final brimming with storylines. Anisimova bounced back from her humiliating Wimbledon final defeat to Iga Swiatek by knocking out the Pole in the quarter-finals, and leads Osaka 2–0 in their head-to-head, though their last meeting came in 2022. Osaka, a two-time US Open champion and four-time Slam winner, has never failed to win a major after progressing past the fourth round, and with her pedigree in New York, we’re backing her to come through a tight battle.
