Wimbledon 2025 semi-final: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova odds, preview & prediction

Aryna Sabalenka continues her quest for a maiden Wimbledon title as she takes on Amanda Anisimova in the semi-finals on Thursday. The world number one has looked dominant for much of the tournament, powering past her early opponents in straight sets before being pushed to three by Laura Siegemund in the quarter-finals. Sabalenka recovered after dropping the first set, using her big serve and heavy groundstrokes to regain control and book her place in the last four.

Anisimova, meanwhile, comes into the semi-finals full of confidence after an impressive run. The American 13th seed has looked sharp all week, backing up her early wins with a composed straight-sets victory over Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova in the quarter-finals. Her aggressive return game and willingness to take the ball early have troubled opponents throughout the tournament, while other big-name Americans like Coco Gauff and Madison Keys suffered early exits.

While Sabalenka has been tested at times, her powerful baseline game and ability to hit winners make her a formidable opponent on grass. She will look to take charge early against Anisimova, stepping inside the baseline and keeping points short to prevent the American from finding her rhythm. Although she is the heavy favourite, Sabalenka is yet to reach a Wimbledon final and will have to overcome nerves as well.

Opponents are raising their level against Sabalenka, with Siegemund, Emma Raducanu and Elise Mertens all providing stiff competition but eventually seen off. Anisimova, who leads their head-to-head, will be another tough challenge for the world number one. This will be their first clash on grass, and Anisimova will need to serve consistently and stay calm under pressure if she is to cause an upset and reach her first Grand Slam final.

• H2H - Anisimova 5-3 Sabalenka

Amanda Anisimova leads the head-to-head over Sabalenka 5-3. The American won their first four meetings, but Sabalenka has claimed victory in three of their last four matches.

That includes their two most recent encounters at Grand Slams, with Sabalenka beating Anisimova in the last 16 at the Australian Open in 2024 and Roland Garros this year.

This will be their first meeting on grass, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the semi-final. Sabalenka’s rise has cemented her status as the woman to beat on tour, but Anisimova’s early success shows she knows how to trouble the world number one when playing at her best.

This has all the makings of a competitive semi-final, with Anisimova’s aggressive baseline game likely to test Sabalenka throughout. The American has the confidence of leading their head-to-head and will look to take time away from the world number one with her early ball-striking.

However, Sabalenka’s power, consistency, and ability to find big serves under pressure should prove decisive. While nerves may play a part as she chases her first Wimbledon final, her recent wins over Anisimova at Grand Slams suggest she can come through again.

Prediction: Sabalenka in three sets

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All odds and markets are correct as of the date of publication.